Q4 Results – Underwhelming

January 29, 2011 on 1:00 am | In Airline News | No Comments

I wonder if I am the only one grossly underwhelmed by airline performance in the 4th quarter.  American’s performance is, at this point, embarrasing to the company’s leadership in my opinion and they hold on, in my opinion, only because of an ever thinning smokescreen.   Delta only managed to eke out $19 million and for an airline that had charged through most of 2010 with impressive profits, you have to ask “why” it was so dismal.  Even if you allow for weather disruptions, it still kind of stinks.

ContiUnited (I’ll stop using that moniker one day soon) managed to beat expectations but still posted a significant loss and let’s not forget that both of these airlines were performing exceptionally well prior to the consummation of their merger.   Even Southwest remained guarded abouts its prospects going forward despite a reasonably decent fourth quarter result.

Are rising fuel costs a problem?  Certainly but they aren’t a problem anyone was unaware of.   The same is true of labor productivity.  These are pretty well known variables and if you don’t know how to manage those effectively at this point, it is time to leave the business.

When US Airways manages to stand out among our airlines given the inherent weakenesses they have in the US marketplace, you have to ask who isn’t doing their job, no?  Alaska Airlines even shined and that is an airline who has all the costs one would associate with any of the legacy US airlines. 

It certainly points out that mergers aren’t the solution to everything and capacity management doesn’t necessarily ensure profits.  In fact, I wonder if this excess of restraint isn’t effecting demand in general and driving customers to other options secondarily.   There is a reason why Southwest keeps running up its revenue score. 

At some point, you have to go out there on the playing field and compete.  Competing isn’t just offering the best price, it’s earning that customer for more than one particular flight.  With all that the airlines have implemented to enhance their revenues, are we finally seeing the results of that behaviour towards consumers?  I certainly think its a important part of the equation.

It’s time to put on the pads and get out on the field ready to play rough and compete.

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